Thursday, February 19, 2009

The Sun is Rising

By: Kufere "McBloggin" Laing

Since the firing of Terry Porter and resorting back to their previous "7 seconds or less" offensive philosophy, the Phoenix Suns have averaged 141 points per game and are 2-0 in the time span. Although, both wins came at the expense of the Clippers (now known as LA JV) who probably couldn't hold Central Catholic's JV to 90 points, the Suns seem to be rejuvenated. Amar'e Stoudemire has been playing like a "flat out stud" (copyright: Steven A. Smith), Steve Nash now looks like the all-star he once was, and the addition of Jason Richardson make the Suns' offensive attack even more forbidable. Secondly, changing back to the 7 seconds or less system (7SL) allows the Suns to get the most out of their personnel. In the 7SL, Leandro Barbosa was among one of the best 6th men in the league, this year his minutes have dropped and unsurprisingly, so has his production. Barbosa was a match-up nightmare for opposing teams in the 7SL due to his speed, however Terry Porter's slow down system didn't allow for Barbosa to get in the open floor and attack defenses while they were retreating. Barbosa was forced to attack defenses off the dribble in an offensive set. This limited the space Barbosa had to operate and also allowed the defense to help on drives in which he beat the primary defender. In fact, only Shaq benefited from Terry Porter's change in strategy. Porter's "slow down, grind it out" system did not fit the Suns at all considering they do not have one "lock down" defender and a team full of athletes who thrived in the 7SL which allowed for fast breaks and created more offensive possesions in case key players were not knocking down shots. The system also allowed Steve Nash to use his immense court vision to find cutters, holes in the defense to penetrate, and to make a play through improvisation. Porter's system allowed for little of this and had the offense run through an aging past his prime, yet still effictive, Shaquille O'neal.

Nevertheless, the Suns are still not a contender in the Western Conference, yet. This is almost the same team (with the addition of Richardson and subtraction of Boris Diaw and Raja Bell) that lost in the first round of the playoffs last year and as of now would not make the playoffs in the Western Conference. Also, Nash's inferior defensive ability hurts the Suns often forcing them in help defense early in the shot clock allowing for open shots for shooters or holes in the defensive rotation for either a cut or easy uncontested drive to the basket. Next, due to the hole the Suns dug themselves into (and by Suns, I mean Terry Porter, I'm going to rant a little here; could there have been a worse hire for this team? He didn't even last one full season and wanted to run his offense through a 37 year old with bad knees and cut off all his teams drives to the basket) during the 1st half of the season, they will likely end up matched up against the Lakers, Spurs, or Nuggets in the 1st round. These three teams would all be favored to beat the Suns and to be honest, the Suns do not match up well with any of these teams. Their history with the Lakers and Spurs is well documented and although they have beaten the Lakers in the past, I doubt they would do the same this season. The Lakers (assuming Bynum returns--and you know what they say when you assume) will be able to put out a front court in the playoffs with the smallest player being 6-11! This would basically end all Nash drives to the hoop while making life difficult for Amar'e and Shaq if they choose to double team and more importantly it would allow the Lakers (aka The Varsity) to control the boards and dictate the pace of the game. The Nuggets also present match up problems for the Suns due to their athleticsm of their front court and Chauncey Billups's ability to physically defend Nash and wear him down in the post over the course of the series. Lastly, with all the Spurs have done to the Suns in recent years, could anyone really see them beating them when it mattered? This Christmas it seemed like the Suns would finally get a quality win against the Spurs, but Roger Mason drilled the game winner (Nash got beat by Parker forcing Richardson to help, leaving Mason open in the corner). Then last season, after an epic Game 1 to start the playoff series, some questioned would this be the greatest 1st round series ever, only for the Spurs to make quick work of the Suns in only 5 games. And who could forget Robert Horry's hip check sending Nash into the 123 row of the stands (or at least after Nash made a quick run to the bathroom to dry his tears, all in all, a great flop job...he is an international player after all) and inducing Amar'e and Diaw's one game suspension which gave the Spurs all the help they needed to get to the Finals and win another NBA title.

But don't get too down Suns' fans, your team is now back to playing fun basketball and who knows, they might just shock the world, get to the Finals, thank god, and become set up a battle to see who really is The Team of Destiny (Yes, the Suns have an opportunity to play the Team of Destiny card, along with every other NBA team; hate to spoil the surprise)

14 comments:

  1. Very insightful, fact based and true...

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  2. they had the 5th highest pace factor even with terry porter as their head coach the new offense just is more based on spreading the court

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  3. im not sure about that...whered u get that stat from?

    also, every nba offense focuses on spreading the court, spreading the floor opens up space for cutters, drives, ect..but the focus of the offense had shifted from up and down and attempting to get a quick shot to lets get the ball 2 the low post and see what shaq can do...its no secret that shaq was clogging the lane for both amar'e and nash thus making the suns' offense one dimensional at times...also, nash didnt really hide his feelings (or lack thereof) of porters offensive strategy...fox sports reported that nash is leader of porter losing his job

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  4. hollinger has the teams pace factors and the suns ranked at 5th before porter was fired

    there offense was never revolving around shaq he still was only 3rd on the team in FG attempts per game on the team and was barely ahead of nash

    plus he had a higher FG% than anyone else on the team by a large margain

    plus shaq has the third highest +/- on the team and when you factor in the amount of time he played on the court he is only behind nash

    its no surprise then that a suns lineup with shaq was the #2 5 man lineup in basketball http://www.82games.com/0809/USORT13.HTM

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  5. hollingers stats also had the lakers as not the best team in the league despite beating the celtics and cavs in the same week AND having the leagues best record after that i stopped listen/ reading hooliger

    also...so shaq should be the #1 option on this team?!?!
    amar'e (well hes hurt now) is arguably a top 5 pf in the nba right now and shaq isnt even a top 5 center...i said shaq was the only 1 who benefited from porters offense no1 else did..relying on shaq has the suns out of the playoffs right now...dnt just rely on these formulas 2 dictate whos effective or not, formulas dont take into account chemestry or players actual ability...if u relied on these numbers, shane battier would be an mvp canidate every year because he shoots a high percentage for his pos and plays great defense

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  6. stats dont lie and 2 games in the middle of an 82 game regular season arent suddenly more important than the other 80. just because the lakers have two recent wins against good competition doesnt mean they suddenly are the best team in the league. Hollingers rankings take a look at the full season and other metrics that tend to predict teams that play well in the playoffs. and what i was saying is that the suns arent relying on shaq right now at all he has taken under 14% percent of their shots. I would argue the problem with the suns this season have been that other teams have figure out how to counter their pace because their are averaging 6.7 less shots a game than their opponents. This is probably because they are averaging 2.8 more TOs than their opponents each game. less haste leads to less waste and the suns are wasting possessions now.

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  7. Kufere does like boys

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  8. Okay well heres the deal Kufere, this blogs sucks ass and so do you. Your a bitch and your blog will never compare up to mine.

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  9. more like kufere "mcbitching" laing

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  10. Anonymous more like andrew stein..i think its real cute that u and kristof i mean the nerd called each other up and decided 2 check out the blog..thanks for the views and also for reading the blog...did u guys take notes..b/c that thing ur runnin (i wont even call it a blog) is probably the worst thing ive ever read...stop by again if u ever want 2 have fun reading a real blog..
    best wishes,
    kufere

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  11. well no..theyre the best team in the league if they have the best record and beat the teams with the 2nd and 3rd best record in that same week...theyre also the best team if they go on the road and stop a 12 game winning streak and a 21 (or was it 23) game home winning streak...
    no..the suns are averaging less shots a game b.c they were n a new offense, the turnovers also attribute 2 the new offensive philosophy...why would the nba figure out how 2 counter the suns pace but not the knicks if both were running similar systems (btw the knicks arent a bad team this yr..7sl has got them as a below average team, not nearly as bad as they were n previous yrs)? also..just exactly what percentage of his teams shots is shaq taking..under 14 doesnt tell me 2 much..if hes taking 13% of the suns shots thats not good...although he shoots a high percentage, he is what as known as a "ball stopper" meaning the ball goes into him and doesnt come back out thus eliminating all ball movement and if hes shooting 60% from the field (which he isnt) hes still missing 40% of the time meaning..on 13% of pho's possessions the ball is going n2 shaq and probably not elsewhere...theres no way u can argue that the suns system under terry porter was working when all the players were unhappy with the system, he lost his job, the suns offense was stagnet @ times, they wouldnt b n the playoffs right now (if they started 2day), AND pho didnt turn n2 a lock down defensive which is his staple as a coach!!! the fact that he lost his job 50 games into the season should say whatever he was doing wasnt working!

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  12. This blog IS intelligent--but not surprisingly so. We knew from the jump that these guys are smart and quick. The guys (anonymous, aka thebraveone, and the Nerd) with the puerile (look it up)comments should go out and play in traffic. jlow3

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  13. the fact that terry porter lost his job is more of a failure by phoenix management by bringing in a defensive minded coach to change the team LONG-TERM and firing him 50 games into the season when they realized their personnel was non-conducive to that strategy.

    typical NBA nonsense, he had no chance from the start.

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